FLORIDA EMERGENCY INCIDENTS

Thursday, October 4, 2012

SOUTH FLORIDA WEATHER UPDATE

10/41/12 THURSDAY

SORRY FOR THE LONG PERIOD OF TIME BETWEEN FORECASTS...BEEN BACKED UP WITH WORK.

FORECAST:

A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM LIES OVER THE BAHAMAS CURRENTLY BRINGING RELATIVELY CALMER WEATHER. HOWEVER, THERE IS STILL SUFFICIENT MOISTURE TO INITIATE SOME CONVECTION OVER THE INTERIOR. THE SEA BREEZES WILL FORM, CAUSING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM. WINDS SHOULD BE OUT OF THE EAST AT 10 MPH OR SO. MAIN IMPACTS WILL BE HAVE RAINFALL AT TIMES. STAY TUNED FOR MORE UPDATES AND A FORECAST FOR THE DAYS AHEAD.

JC

TROPICAL WEATHER:

TS NADINE HAS BECOME QUITE A NUISANCE FOR THE SHIPPING LANES. IT HAS SUSTAINED ITSELF FOR 22 DAYS NOW! QUITE AMAZING! THE LONGEST LASTING TROPICAL SYSTEM WAS UNAMED AND LASTED 27 DAYS.
-
THE NHC IS MONITORING NEWLY FORMED TS OSCAR. ITS CURRENT POSITION IS AS FOLLOWS: 20.6 N 40.7 W. TS OSCAR IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TO THE NW, FURTHER DECREASING THE CHANCES OF IMPACT ON LAND.

LATEST ADVISORY:


00
WTNT34 KNHC 041437
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF NADINE ADVISORY NUMBER  88
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142012
1100 AM AST THU OCT 04 2012

...BYE BYE NADINE...
...WHAT A LONG STRANGE TRIP ITS BEEN...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.0N 26.7W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM NNE OF LAJES IN THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE WEATHER SERVICE OF PORTUGAL HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE AZORES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
SATELLITE IMAGES AND MICROWAVE DATA INDICATE THAT NADINE NO LONGER
HAS A CLOSED CIRCULATION AND BECAME ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT.
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF NADINE WERE LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 40.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 26.7 WEST...MOVING NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE REMNANTS OF NADINE ARE FORECAST TO PRODUCE GALE-FORCE
WINDS DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO.

GALE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE DISTURBACE.    

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...GALE-FORCE WINDS IN GUSTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE
AZORES...BUT SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER TODAY.

RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF NADINE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR LESS OVER PORTIONS OF THE
AZORES THROUGH THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS
OF NADINE PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE METEO FRANCE
MET OFFICE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

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